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| Mesoscale Discussion 607 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0607
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0644 PM CDT Tue Apr 28 2026
Areas affected...Southwest Texas
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 282344Z - 290145Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...An isolated severe thunderstorm will pose a risk of large
hail for a couple of hours over parts of southwest Texas. A watch
is not anticipated.
DISCUSSION...An isolated intense thunderstorm has formed in Terrell
county TX, just east of Sanderson. This cell formed along the
surface dryline in a very hot/moist and unstable air mass. This
storm will likely persist for a couple of hours, tracking into Val
Verde county. Left-splits from this cell could affect southern
Crockett county as well. Very steep mid-level lapse rates, high
CAPE, and supercell structures will continue to pose a risk of large
hail over 2 inches and locally damaging wind gusts. Coverage of
storms is expected to remain sparse, so a watch is not currently
anticipated.
..Hart/Mosier.. 04/28/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...
LAT...LON 30370191 30600122 30170043 29790035 29610064 29530113
29890192 30140208 30370191
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN
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