Note: 
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

   SEL7

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 127
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   200 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     Northern Arkansas
     Far Southern Illinois
     Extreme Western Kentucky
     Southern Missouri

   * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 200 PM until
     900 PM CDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
       inches in diameter possible
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
     A tornado or two possible

   SUMMARY...Several clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms are
   currently ongoing, with additional development anticipated across
   the region this afternoon. Strong buoyancy coupled with moderate
   deep-layer vertical shear will support organized storm structures
   capable of large to very large hail. Some bowing linear segments,
   with an attendant risk for damaging gusts, are possible with time.
   The tornado threat is expected to remain low, but still non-zero.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 95
   statute miles east and west of a line from 70 miles north northwest
   of Poplar Bluff MO to 40 miles east southeast of Russellville AR.
   For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
   outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
   tornadoes.

   &&

   AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
   2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
   few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
   27035.

   ...Mosier

   SEL7

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 127
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   200 PM CDT Thu Apr 16 2026

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     Northern Arkansas
     Far Southern Illinois
     Extreme Western Kentucky
     Southern Missouri

   * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 200 PM until
     900 PM CDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
       inches in diameter possible
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
     A tornado or two possible

   SUMMARY...Several clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms are
   currently ongoing, with additional development anticipated across
   the region this afternoon. Strong buoyancy coupled with moderate
   deep-layer vertical shear will support organized storm structures
   capable of large to very large hail. Some bowing linear segments,
   with an attendant risk for damaging gusts, are possible with time.
   The tornado threat is expected to remain low, but still non-zero.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 95
   statute miles east and west of a line from 70 miles north northwest
   of Poplar Bluff MO to 40 miles east southeast of Russellville AR.
   For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
   outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
   tornadoes.

   &&

   AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
   2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
   few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
   27035.

   ...Mosier

Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.

   SAW7 
   WW 127 SEVERE TSTM AR IL KY MO 161900Z - 170200Z
   AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   70NNW POF/POPLAR BLUFF MO/ - 40ESE RUE/RUSSELLVILLE AR/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM E/W /35W FAM - 24NNW LIT/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.

   LAT...LON 37688922 35029076 35029412 37689270

   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU7.

Watch 127 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 127

VALID 162040Z - 162140Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 465

..THORNTON..04/16/26

ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...MEG...PAH...SGF...LSX...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 127 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC005-009-015-021-023-029-031-033-037-045-047-049-055-063-065-
067-071-075-083-087-089-093-101-105-111-115-121-127-129-131-135-
137-141-143-145-147-149-162140-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BAXTER     BOONE CARROLL     
CLAY     CLEBURNE CONWAY      
CRAIGHEAD     CRAWFORD CROSS     
FAULKNER     FRANKLIN FULTON      
GREENE     INDEPENDENCE IZARD     
JACKSON      JOHNSON LAWRENCE     
LOGAN     MADISON MARION      
MISSISSIPPI     NEWTON PERRY     
POINSETT     POPE RANDOLPH     
SCOTT     SEARCY SEBASTIAN     
SHARP     STONE VAN BUREN     
WASHINGTON     WHITE WOODRUFF     
YELL     
$$


ILC003-077-087-127-151-153-165-181-199-162140-

IL 
.    ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALEXANDER     JACKSON JOHNSON     
MASSAC     POPE PULASKI     
SALINE     UNION WILLIAMSON     
$$


KYC007-035-039-075-083-105-139-145-157-162140-

KY 
.    KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BALLARD      CALLOWAY CARLISLE     
FULTON     GRAVES HICKMAN     
LIVINGSTON     MCCRACKEN MARSHALL     
$$


MOC017-023-031-035-043-055-065-067-069-091-093-105-123-133-143-
149-153-155-157-161-169-179-181-186-187-201-203-207-213-215-221-
223-225-229-162140-

MO 
.    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BOLLINGER     BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU      
CARTER     CHRISTIAN CRAWFORD     
DENT     DOUGLAS DUNKLIN     
HOWELL     IRON LACLEDE     
MADISON      MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID     
OREGON     OZARK PEMISCOT     
PERRY     PHELPS PULASKI     
REYNOLDS     RIPLEY STE. GENEVIEVE      
ST. FRANCOIS     SCOTT SHANNON     
STODDARD     TANEY TEXAS     
WASHINGTON     WAYNE WEBSTER     
WRIGHT     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Note:
 Click for Complete Product Text.

Tornadoes

Wind

Hail

Combined Severe Hail/Wind

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.