|
|
| Mesoscale Discussion 972 | |
| Next MD > | |
 | |
Mesoscale Discussion 0972 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0510 PM CDT Wed Jun 03 2026 Areas affected...Northeast ND into northwest MN Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 032210Z - 040015Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Strong to locally severe storms may increase into the evening. DISCUSSION...Storms are gradually increasing in coverage and intensity late this afternoon across eastern ND, along east of a surface trough. A mid/upper-level shortwave trough/low moving across the Canadian Prairies will help to sustain this convection into the evening, with storms expected to spread across parts of northeast ND into northwest MN. While both low-level and deep-layer shear will tend to be stronger across the area covered by WW 271, moderate buoyancy (MLCAPE of 1000-1500 J/kg) and effective shear of 25-35 kt will support occasional storm organization, including potential for hail, localized strong/damaging gusts, and possibly a brief tornado. While the magnitude and coverage of the severe threat across northeast ND/northwest MN is expected to be less than areas farther south, and additional watch issuance is considered unlikely, trends will be monitored for an uptick in storm coverage/intensity into the early evening. ..Dean/Guyer.. 06/03/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...FGF... LAT...LON 47739532 47809707 47809752 47819812 47989832 48299857 48669890 48889883 49099857 49049737 49019568 48949512 48619494 48349495 47739519 47739532 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN | |
| Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home | |