Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 954

   Mesoscale Discussion 0954
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0133 AM CDT Tue Jun 02 2026

   Areas affected...parts of south central/southeastern Kansas and
   north central/northeastern Oklahoma

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 268...

   Valid 020633Z - 020830Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 268
   continues.

   SUMMARY...At its current motion, the ongoing convective system will
   progress east-southeast of the watch within the hour.  It remains
   unclear how long this cluster will be maintained through the
   overnight hours, but it is possible that potential for gusts
   exceeding severe limits may be diminishing enough that a new severe
   weather watch may not be needed.

   DISCUSSION...Vigorous thunderstorm development persists on the
   leading edge of the organized convective system, which has recently
   been propagating east-southeastward at 30-35 kt. 
   Westerly/northwesterly rear inflow to the south of an associated
   mesoscale convective vortex now progressing to the north of Medicine
   Lodge remains on the order of 40-50+ kt, and a corridor of 2-4+ mb
   (up to 6.5 mb in the 06Z Medicine Lodge observation) 2-hourly
   surface pressure rises remain evident on the leading edge of the
   cold pool.  However, there have been signs of weakening trends in
   latest radar data, and the latest Rapid Refresh/HRRR suggest more
   substantive weakening trends during the next few hours, as
   inhibition for inflow parcels emanating from the seasonably moist
   boundary layer continues to slowly increase.

   ..Kerr.. 06/02/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...

   LAT...LON   37779757 37609611 37019545 35739620 36049742 36349771
               37049744 37779757