Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 675

   Mesoscale Discussion 0675
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0729 PM CDT Fri May 08 2026

   Areas affected...north-central Texas

   Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely 

   Valid 090029Z - 090230Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...Thunderstorm activity will move southward across the Red
   River into north-central Texas this evening. Additional thunderstorm
   development will be possible south of the Red River north of the DFW
   Metro.

   DISCUSSION...A broken line of thunderstorms continues to move south
   and east across portions of central Oklahoma. This is tending to
   cluster along outflow but embedded supercells are still producing
   occasional hail up to 1.75-2.75 inches. Through time, this will
   continue to evolve into a greater damaging wind threat as it moves
   into north Texas this evening given trends in growth along outflow.
   Temperatures downstream are cooling, with temperatures in the mid to
   upper 70s. The 00z sounding from FWD shows less favorable low levels
   but does show a deep layer of instability aloft.  Upper level flow
   remains modest but downward momentum transport from heavier cores
   may produce severe caliber winds. A watch will likely be needed
   downstream of WW192 soon.

   ..Thornton/Guyer.. 05/09/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

   LAT...LON   33949892 34399792 34599727 34639622 34449552 33839509
               33029534 33019698 33029775 33009849 33249894 33949892 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN