Mesoscale Discussion 0438
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0923 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

   Areas affected...Central into southern Lower Michigan

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 113...

   Valid 150223Z - 150400Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 113 continues.

   SUMMARY...Aside from damaging winds and isolated large hail,
   discrete storms near the warm front will pose the greatest tornado
   risk if they can intensify.

   DISCUSSION...Discrete convection has been noted ahead of the linear
   segments moving southeastward off of Lake Michigan. Given their
   proximity to the warm front and the large SRH on KGRR VAD (over 400
   0-1 km), these storms will pose the greatest risk for tornadoes
   should they intensify. A strong tornado is possible within this
   environment.

   ..Wendt.. 04/15/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...DTX...GRR...

   LAT...LON   42958614 43158594 43378504 43358493 43318470 43088452
               42588408 42348394 42178403 42158460 42458538 42958614 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN