Mesoscale Discussion 0432
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0646 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

   Areas affected...The Big Country and Edwards Plateau of Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 111...

   Valid 142346Z - 150115Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 111
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Storm coverage in WW #111 will likely be limited the
   remainder of the evening.

   DISCUSSION...Satellite imagery and surface observations show
   widespread clouds east of a dryline, with relatively cool surface
   temperatures mostly in the the 70s.  Thunderstorms have developed
   recently along the retreating dryline just southwest of Midland. 
   However, these storms may struggle to persist, and new storm
   development will be limited as a result of lingering convective
   inhibition this evening from the Edwards Plateau into the Big
   Country.  Farther south, there is some potential for a supercell to
   cross the Rio Grande and make it into Val Verde Co. (near Del Rio)
   00-01z, with an attendant threat for large hail and severe outflow
   gusts.

   Given the questions about storm intensity/persistence across much of
   WW #111, some/most of the watch could be removed near and after 01z.

   ..Thompson.. 04/14/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...OUN...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...

   LAT...LON   31360266 33110116 33650032 33319985 32980005 32290058
               31560129 30780134 29650016 29190017 29180075 29770143
               30620258 31360266 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN