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cat $HOME/public_html/posts/storm-prediction-center-severe-thunderstorm-watch-651.txt >> story.html | parse_story story.html; rm -f storm-prediction-center-severe-thunderstorm-watch-651.txt story.html
Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 651
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
345 PM CDT Thu Sep 3 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern Minnesota
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 345 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A cluster of potentially severe storms will continue to
move eastward and pose risks for damaging winds and isolated large
hail through early evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 75 miles north of Hibbing
MN to 30 miles east southeast of Brainerd MN. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 647...WW 648...WW
649...WW 650...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
28025.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1 WW 651 SEVERE TSTM MN 032045Z - 040300Z AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE.. 75N HIB/HIBBING MN/ - 30ESE BRD/BRAINERD MN/ ..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /24ESE INL - 21ESE BRD/ HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS. MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28025. LAT...LON 48469152 46239229 46239481 48469414 THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS FOR WOU1.
Watch 651 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 651 VALID 040135Z - 040240Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..CHALMERS..09/04/26 ATTN...WFO...DLH... && STATUS REPORT FOR WS 651 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MNC001-017-021-035-061-071-137-040240- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AITKIN CARLTON CASS CROW WING ITASCA KOOCHICHING ST. LOUIS $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$ STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 651 VALID 032140Z - 032240Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..MARSH..09/03/26 ATTN...WFO...DLH... && STATUS REPORT FOR WS 651 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MNC001-017-021-035-061-071-137-032240- MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AITKIN CARLTON CASS CROW WING ITASCA KOOCHICHING ST. LOUIS $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
| Probability of 2 or more tornadoes |
Low (10%) |
| Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes |
Low (5%) |
Wind
| Probability of 10 or more severe wind events |
Mod (50%) |
| Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots |
Low (10%) |
Hail
| Probability of 10 or more severe hail events |
Mod (40%) |
| Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches |
Low (10%) |
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
| Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events |
High (70%) |
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.