Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 534
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
325 PM MDT Thu Jul 30 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western into North-Central South Dakota
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 325 PM until
900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Widely scattered to scattered thunderstorms are forecast
to develop and intensify through the early evening. A couple of
small thunderstorm clusters may evolve ahead of an upper disturbance
as some propensity for storms to produce outflow acts to consolidate
the severe risk by early evening. Severe gusts 60 to 70 mph are the
primary hazard but isolated large hail near 1 inch in diameter is
possible too.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles east northeast
of Buffalo SD to 60 miles west southwest of Pierre SD. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 533...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
29020.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4 WW 534 SEVERE TSTM SD 302125Z - 310300Z AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE.. 50ENE 2WX/BUFFALO SD/ - 60WSW PIR/PIERRE SD/ ..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /58NW DPR - 57WSW PIR/ HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS. MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29020. LAT...LON 45830090 44039979 44030301 45830422 THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS FOR WOU4.
Watch 534 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
| Probability of 2 or more tornadoes |
Low ( |
| Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes |
Low ( |
Wind
| Probability of 10 or more severe wind events |
Mod (50%) |
| Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots |
Low (10%) |
Hail
| Probability of 10 or more severe hail events |
Mod (30%) |
| Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches |
Low (20%) |
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
| Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events |
High (70%) |
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.