Storm Prediction Center Severe Thunderstorm Watch 421
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Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 421
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
300 AM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern Iowa
Southern and Southeast Minnesota
Western and West-Central Wisconsin
* Effective this Tuesday morning from 300 AM until 1000 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A cluster of severe thunderstorms will move into the Watch
area tonight and likely move east-northeast across the Watch area
through the early to mid morning. The linear cluster will pose a
risk for scattered severe gusts (60 to 75 mph).
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles west northwest
of Fairmont MN to 50 miles east of Eau Claire WI. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 420...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
24045.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 421 SEVERE TSTM IA MN WI 300800Z - 301500Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20WNW FRM/FAIRMONT MN/ - 50E EAU/EAU CLAIRE WI/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /45SSE RWF - 43E EAU/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.
LAT...LON 44569479 45669046 44079046 42969479
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 421 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 421
VALID 301035Z - 301140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DEAN..06/30/26
ATTN...WFO...DMX...MPX...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 421
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC063-109-147-189-195-301140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
EMMET KOSSUTH PALO ALTO
WINNEBAGO WORTH
$$
MNC013-015-019-037-039-043-045-047-049-053-079-091-099-103-109-
123-131-139-143-147-157-161-163-165-169-301140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLUE EARTH BROWN CARVER
DAKOTA DODGE FARIBAULT
FILLMORE FREEBORN GOODHUE
HENNEPIN LE SUEUR MARTIN
MOWER NICOLLET OLMSTED
RAMSEY RICE SCOTT
SIBLEY STEELE WABASHA
WASECA WASHINGTON WATONWAN
WINONA
$$
WIC011-017-019-033-035-053-091-093-109-119-121-301140-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUFFALO CHIPPEWA CLARK
DUNN EAU CLAIRE JACKSON
PEPIN PIERCE ST. CROIX
TAYLOR TREMPEALEAU
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Low (
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (50%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Mod (30%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Mod (30%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Low (20%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (80%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.