Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 335
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
415 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
District Of Columbia
Western and Central Maryland
Central and Northern Virginia
Eastern Panhandle of West Virginia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 415 PM until
1100 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm coverage is expected to increase this
afternoon and evening within the warm, moist, and unstable
environment in place across the region. Recent 18Z sounding at IAD
sampled 42 kt of 0-6 km shear, which is more than sufficient for
updraft organization. General expectation is for multiple rounds of
occasionally severe storms, with damaging gusts as the primary
severe hazard. Isolated instances of large hail could occur as well.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles northeast of
Martinsburg WV to 40 miles southeast of Lynchburg VA. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 333...WW 334...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26030.
...Mosier
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 335
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
415 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
District Of Columbia
Western and Central Maryland
Central and Northern Virginia
Eastern Panhandle of West Virginia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 415 PM until
1100 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm coverage is expected to increase this
afternoon and evening within the warm, moist, and unstable
environment in place across the region. Recent 18Z sounding at IAD
sampled 42 kt of 0-6 km shear, which is more than sufficient for
updraft organization. General expectation is for multiple rounds of
occasionally severe storms, with damaging gusts as the primary
severe hazard. Isolated instances of large hail could occur as well.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles northeast of
Martinsburg WV to 40 miles southeast of Lynchburg VA. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 333...WW 334...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26030.
...Mosier
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5 WW 335 SEVERE TSTM DC MD VA WV CW 142015Z - 150300Z AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE.. 25NE MRB/MARTINSBURG WV/ - 40SE LYH/LYNCHBURG VA/ ..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /32WNW EMI - 33SE LYH/ HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS. MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030. LAT...LON 39657633 36917742 36917996 39657896 THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS FOR WOU5.
Watch 335 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 335 VALID 150025Z - 150140Z SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ENE RZZ TO 25 SW RIC TO 15 SE SSU. ..DEAN..06/15/26 ATTN...WFO...LWX...AKQ...RNK... && STATUS REPORT FOR WS 335 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS DCC001-150140- DC . DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA $$ MDC001-003-005-009-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-031-033-037- 039-043-045-047-510-150140- MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEGANY ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT CARROLL CECIL CHARLES DORCHESTER FREDERICK GARRETT HARFORD HOWARD MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES ST. MARYS SOMERSET WASHINGTON WICOMICO WORCESTER MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE BALTIMORE CITY $$ VAC001-003-013-015-036-043-047-057-059-061-069-073-079-091-093- 095-097-099-101-103-107-113-115-119-125-127-131-133-137-139-153- 157-159-161-165-171-177-179-181-187-193-199-510-540-550-600-610- 630-650-660-683-685-700-710-735-740-790-800-810-820-830-840- 150140- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ACCOMACK ALBEMARLE ARLINGTON AUGUSTA CHARLES CITY CLARKE CULPEPER ESSEX FAIRFAX FAUQUIER FREDERICK GLOUCESTER GREENE HIGHLAND ISLE OF WIGHT JAMES CITY KING AND QUEEN KING GEORGE KING WILLIAM LANCASTER LOUDOUN MADISON MATHEWS MIDDLESEX NELSON NEW KENT NORTHAMPTON NORTHUMBERLAND ORANGE PAGE PRINCE WILLIAM RAPPAHANNOCK RICHMOND ROANOKE ROCKINGHAM SHENANDOAH SPOTSYLVANIA STAFFORD SURRY WARREN WESTMORELAND YORK VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDRIA CHARLOTTESVILLE CHESAPEAKE FAIRFAX FALLS CHURCH FREDERICKSBURG HAMPTON HARRISONBURG MANASSAS MANASSAS PARK NEWPORT NEWS NORFOLK POQUOSON PORTSMOUTH STAUNTON SUFFOLK VIRGINIA BEACH WAYNESBORO WILLIAMSBURG WINCHESTER $$ WVC003-023-027-031-037-057-065-071-150140- WV . WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BERKELEY GRANT HAMPSHIRE HARDY JEFFERSON MINERAL MORGAN PENDLETON $$ ANZ530-531-532-533-534-535-536-537-538-542-630-631-632-634-635- 637-639-650-652-654-656-150140- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO LITTLE CREEK VA CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM LITTLE CREEK VA TO CAPE HENRY VA INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY BRIDGE TUNNEL RAPPAHANNOCK RIVER FROM URBANNA TO WINDMILL POINT JAMES RIVER FROM JAMESTOWN TO THE JAMES RIVER BRIDGE JAMES RIVER FROM JRB TO HRBT INCLUDING THE ELIZABETH RIVER COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20 NM COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT 20 NM COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT TO VIRGINIA-NORTH CAROLINA BORDER OUT TO 20 NM $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$ STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 335 VALID 142245Z - 142340Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1146 ..DEAN..06/14/26 ATTN...WFO...LWX...AKQ...RNK... && STATUS REPORT FOR WS 335 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS DCC001-142340- DC . DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA $$ MDC001-003-005-009-013-015-017-021-023-025-027-031-033-037-043- 510-142340- MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEGANY ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT CARROLL CECIL CHARLES FREDERICK GARRETT HARFORD HOWARD MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES ST. MARYS WASHINGTON MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE BALTIMORE CITY $$ VAC003-007-009-011-013-015-019-023-025-029-031-033-036-037-041- 043-045-047-049-053-057-059-061-065-067-069-075-079-083-085-087- 091-097-099-101-103-107-109-111-113-117-119-125-127-133-135-137- 139-143-145-147-149-153-157-159-161-163-165-171-177-179-187-193- 510-530-540-570-590-600-610-630-660-670-678-680-683-685-730-760- 770-775-790-820-840-142340- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALBEMARLE AMELIA AMHERST APPOMATTOX ARLINGTON AUGUSTA BEDFORD BOTETOURT BRUNSWICK BUCKINGHAM CAMPBELL CAROLINE CHARLES CITY CHARLOTTE CHESTERFIELD CLARKE CRAIG CULPEPER CUMBERLAND DINWIDDIE ESSEX FAIRFAX FAUQUIER FLUVANNA FRANKLIN FREDERICK GOOCHLAND GREENE HALIFAX HANOVER HENRICO HIGHLAND KING AND QUEEN KING GEORGE KING WILLIAM LANCASTER LOUDOUN LOUISA LUNENBURG MADISON MECKLENBURG MIDDLESEX NELSON NEW KENT NORTHUMBERLAND NOTTOWAY ORANGE PAGE PITTSYLVANIA POWHATAN PRINCE EDWARD PRINCE GEORGE PRINCE WILLIAM RAPPAHANNOCK RICHMOND ROANOKE ROCKBRIDGE ROCKINGHAM SHENANDOAH SPOTSYLVANIA STAFFORD WARREN WESTMORELAND VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDRIA BUENA VISTA CHARLOTTESVILLE COLONIAL HEIGHTS DANVILLE FAIRFAX FALLS CHURCH FREDERICKSBURG HARRISONBURG HOPEWELL LEXINGTON LYNCHBURG MANASSAS MANASSAS PARK PETERSBURG RICHMOND ROANOKE SALEM STAUNTON WAYNESBORO WINCHESTER $$ WVC003-023-027-031-037-057-065-071-142340- WV . WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BERKELEY GRANT HAMPSHIRE HARDY JEFFERSON MINERAL MORGAN PENDLETON $$ ANZ530-531-532-533-534-535-536-537-538-542-635-142340- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD RAPPAHANNOCK RIVER FROM URBANNA TO WINDMILL POINT $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$ STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 335 VALID 142245Z - 142340Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1146 ..DEAN..06/14/26 ATTN...WFO...LWX...AKQ...RNK... && STATUS REPORT FOR WS 335 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS DCC001-142340- DC . DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA $$ MDC001-003-005-009-013-015-017-021-023-025-027-031-033-037-043- 510-142340- MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEGANY ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT CARROLL CECIL CHARLES FREDERICK GARRETT HARFORD HOWARD MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES ST. MARYS WASHINGTON MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE BALTIMORE CITY $$ VAC003-007-009-011-013-015-019-023-025-029-031-033-036-037-041- 043-045-047-049-053-057-059-061-065-067-069-075-079-083-085-087- 091-097-099-101-103-107-109-111-113-117-119-125-127-133-135-137- 139-143-145-147-149-153-157-159-161-163-165-171-177-179-187-193- 510-530-540-570-590-600-610-630-660-670-678-680-683-685-730-760- 770-775-790-820-840-142340- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALBEMARLE AMELIA AMHERST APPOMATTOX ARLINGTON AUGUSTA BEDFORD BOTETOURT BRUNSWICK BUCKINGHAM CAMPBELL CAROLINE CHARLES CITY CHARLOTTE CHESTERFIELD CLARKE CRAIG CULPEPER CUMBERLAND DINWIDDIE ESSEX FAIRFAX FAUQUIER FLUVANNA FRANKLIN FREDERICK GOOCHLAND GREENE HALIFAX HANOVER HENRICO HIGHLAND KING AND QUEEN KING GEORGE KING WILLIAM LANCASTER LOUDOUN LOUISA LUNENBURG MADISON MECKLENBURG MIDDLESEX NELSON NEW KENT NORTHUMBERLAND NOTTOWAY ORANGE PAGE PITTSYLVANIA POWHATAN PRINCE EDWARD PRINCE GEORGE PRINCE WILLIAM RAPPAHANNOCK RICHMOND ROANOKE ROCKBRIDGE ROCKINGHAM SHENANDOAH SPOTSYLVANIA STAFFORD WARREN WESTMORELAND VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDRIA BUENA VISTA CHARLOTTESVILLE COLONIAL HEIGHTS DANVILLE FAIRFAX FALLS CHURCH FREDERICKSBURG HARRISONBURG HOPEWELL LEXINGTON LYNCHBURG MANASSAS MANASSAS PARK PETERSBURG RICHMOND ROANOKE SALEM STAUNTON WAYNESBORO WINCHESTER $$ WVC003-023-027-031-037-057-065-071-142340- WV . WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BERKELEY GRANT HAMPSHIRE HARDY JEFFERSON MINERAL MORGAN PENDLETON $$ ANZ530-531-532-533-534-535-536-537-538-542-635-142340- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD RAPPAHANNOCK RIVER FROM URBANNA TO WINDMILL POINT $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$ STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 335 VALID 142100Z - 142240Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..THORNTON..06/14/26 ATTN...WFO...LWX...AKQ...RNK... && STATUS REPORT FOR WS 335 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS DCC001-142240- DC . DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA $$ MDC001-003-005-009-013-015-017-021-023-025-027-031-033-037-043- 510-142240- MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEGANY ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT CARROLL CECIL CHARLES FREDERICK GARRETT HARFORD HOWARD MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES ST. MARYS WASHINGTON MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE BALTIMORE CITY $$ VAC003-007-009-011-013-015-019-023-025-029-031-033-036-037-041- 043-045-047-049-053-057-059-061-065-067-069-075-079-083-085-087- 091-097-099-101-103-107-109-111-113-117-119-125-127-133-135-137- 139-143-145-147-149-153-157-159-161-163-165-171-177-179-187-193- 510-530-540-570-590-600-610-630-660-670-678-680-683-685-730-760- 770-775-790-820-840-142240- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALBEMARLE AMELIA AMHERST APPOMATTOX ARLINGTON AUGUSTA BEDFORD BOTETOURT BRUNSWICK BUCKINGHAM CAMPBELL CAROLINE CHARLES CITY CHARLOTTE CHESTERFIELD CLARKE CRAIG CULPEPER CUMBERLAND DINWIDDIE ESSEX FAIRFAX FAUQUIER FLUVANNA FRANKLIN FREDERICK GOOCHLAND GREENE HALIFAX HANOVER HENRICO HIGHLAND KING AND QUEEN KING GEORGE KING WILLIAM LANCASTER LOUDOUN LOUISA LUNENBURG MADISON MECKLENBURG MIDDLESEX NELSON NEW KENT NORTHUMBERLAND NOTTOWAY ORANGE PAGE PITTSYLVANIA POWHATAN PRINCE EDWARD PRINCE GEORGE PRINCE WILLIAM RAPPAHANNOCK RICHMOND ROANOKE ROCKBRIDGE ROCKINGHAM SHENANDOAH SPOTSYLVANIA STAFFORD WARREN WESTMORELAND VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDRIA BUENA VISTA CHARLOTTESVILLE COLONIAL HEIGHTS DANVILLE FAIRFAX FALLS CHURCH FREDERICKSBURG HARRISONBURG HOPEWELL LEXINGTON LYNCHBURG MANASSAS MANASSAS PARK PETERSBURG RICHMOND ROANOKE SALEM STAUNTON WAYNESBORO WINCHESTER $$ WVC003-023-027-031-037-057-065-071-142240- WV . WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BERKELEY GRANT HAMPSHIRE HARDY JEFFERSON MINERAL MORGAN PENDLETON $$ ANZ530-531-532-533-534-535-536-537-538-542-635-142240- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD RAPPAHANNOCK RIVER FROM URBANNA TO WINDMILL POINT $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
| Probability of 2 or more tornadoes |
Low (10%) |
| Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes |
Low ( |
Wind
| Probability of 10 or more severe wind events |
Mod (60%) |
| Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots |
Low (20%) |
Hail
| Probability of 10 or more severe hail events |
Low (20%) |
| Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches |
Low (10%) |
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
| Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events |
High (80%) |
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.