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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 871












Mesoscale Discussion 871
MD 871 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 0871
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0123 AM CDT Wed May 27 2026

   Areas affected...Parts of the Lower/Middle Texas Coast and vicinity

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 245...

   Valid 270623Z - 270800Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 245
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A locally favorable corridor for severe wind gusts and
   large hail is evident over parts of the Lower/Middle TX Coast and
   vicinity during the next hour or so.

   DISCUSSION...Along the southern end of an eastward-moving MCS
   approaching the Middle TX Coast, a somewhat separated cluster of
   thunderstorms is tracking eastward at around 40 kt toward Corpus
   Christi and vicinity. Around 40 kt of deep-layer shear oriented
   perpendicular to the gust front of this upscale-growing cluster and
   moist/moderately unstable surface-based inflow (sampled by the 00Z
   CRP sounding) will favor a corridor of severe wind gusts (around
   60-70 mph) and possibly large hail as it moves toward the coast over
   the next hour or so.

   ..Weinman.. 05/27/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...CRP...

   LAT...LON   27279738 27359804 27579817 27859808 28039798 28049721
               27929700 27489708 27279738 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


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