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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 581












Mesoscale Discussion 581
MD 581 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 0581
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0847 PM CDT Sun Apr 27 2025

   Areas affected...Parts of northwest/north-central Nebraska

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 178...

   Valid 280147Z - 280245Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 178 continues.

   SUMMARY...The supercell tornado risk continues across portions of
   northwest into north-central Nebraska.

   DISCUSSION...Several long-lived right-moving supercells have merged
   into a supercell cluster over the last hour over Cherry County
   Nebraska. The LNX VWP depicts a 50-kt low-level jet overspreading
   backed surface winds -- yielding a large clockwise-curved hodograph
   (280 m2/s2 0-500m SRH). This wind profile, combined with rich
   boundary-layer moisture (lower 60s dewpoints) will continue to
   support a supercell tornado threat with northeastward extent over at
   least the next hour.

   ..Weinman.. 04/28/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...

   LAT...LON   42050144 42270173 42510173 42970120 43060071 42850038
               42480026 42120069 42030114 42050144 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


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