Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2029

   Mesoscale Discussion 2029
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0720 PM CDT Wed Sep 03 2025

   Areas affected...portions of southeastern Kansas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 605...

   Valid 040020Z - 040115Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 605
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Supercell capable of large to very large hail will
   continue to move southward.

   DISCUSSION...A supercell that has produced numerous large hail
   reports including hail up to baseball size (2.75"). Recent reports
   of winds 60-70 mph have been reported as well, suggesting potential
   for wind driven hail. It appears this supercell will be sustained
   downstream for the next hour or so, given the favorable environment
   with ample MLCAPE, deep layer shear, and steep lapse rates. Hail 2-3
   inches and gusts 60-70 mph will be possible. A second supercell is
   also tracking southward behind the lead cell and will also be
   capable of large hail and damaging wind.

   ..Thornton.. 09/04/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...ICT...

   LAT...LON   37739768 37549759 37359746 37259735 37189712 37179679
               37269652 37529654 37829672 38079687 38369713 38319741
               38309766 38239787 37999779 37739768 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN