Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2023

   Mesoscale Discussion 2023
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0909 PM CDT Fri Aug 29 2025

   Areas affected...Southern High Plains

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 604...

   Valid 300209Z - 300415Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 604
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Gusty winds may accompany storms as they propagate
   southeast this evening.

   DISCUSSION...Several thunderstorm clusters persist this evening
   across the High Plains from northwest KS into east central NM. This
   activity appears to be aided by a short-wave trough that is
   flattening the ridge over CO. 00z soundings from both AMA and DDC
   exhibited around 7-7.5 C/km lapse rates, and more than adequate
   shear for maintaining these clusters as they propagate southeast.
   While large-scale support will continue to encourage some longevity,
   buoyancy is not particularly strong, especially given the weak
   low-level inflow. Gusty winds are the main concern with these storms
   as they move southeast, but a new watch is not currently anticipated
   downstream.

   ..Darrow.. 08/30/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   35020341 36250183 37090193 37670288 38750140 36190105
               34760273 35020341 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN