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| Mesoscale Discussion 1026 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1026 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0709 AM CDT Mon Jun 08 2026 Areas affected...Northeast Oklahoma...southeast Kansas...southwest Missouri...northwest Arkansas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 286... Valid 081209Z - 081415Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 286 continues. SUMMARY...Damaging winds and perhaps a tornado remain possible with a small MCS moving generally southward this morning. A local extension of the watch is possible, but expected limited/slow destabilization downstream of this activity gives low confidence in the need for an additional watch this morning. DISCUSSION...As cold pools have congealed this morning, a small MCS formed and has been slowly moving southward over the last 1-2 hours. Some continued southward movement (with perhaps some westerly component into the large MUCAPE reservoir in OK) can be expected over the next couple of hours. A more north-south oriented portion of the line south of Springfield, MO, will likely continue east. Damaging winds remain the greatest threat, though a tornado is still possible. The tornado threat will be greatest with the north-south portion of the system given the more favorable, orthogonal low-level shear vector. It is unclear how long this activity will last as the low-level jet will gradually decrease and visible satellite shows a low-level cloud deck. Trends will be monitored and a local extension of the watch is possible, but an additional watch is not currently expected. ..Wendt.. 06/08/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...TSA...ICT... LAT...LON 36319585 37219559 37299528 37069470 37009423 37049377 37269327 37189289 36559273 35569335 35269436 35579529 36319585 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH | |
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