Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1024

   Mesoscale Discussion 1024
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0423 AM CDT Mon Jun 08 2026

   Areas affected...Northeast Oklahoma...southeast Kansas...southwest
   Missouri...northwest Arkansas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 286...

   Valid 080923Z - 081130Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 286
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Isolated wind damage remains possible early this morning.
   If a stronger cold pool develops, expect southward movement of a
   small MCS. A tornado threat also remains, particularly with embedded
   supercell structures.

   DISCUSSION...Regional VAD data continues to show a low-level jet
   focused into northeast Oklahoma/southwest Missouri. This will
   support additional convective development through the early morning.
   While isolated wind damage is possible in the short term, there has
   been a tendency for convection to cluster in southwest Missouri.
   Should a stronger cold pool eventually develop, this could push
   farther south into the buoyancy axis. Additionally, the threat for a
   tornado or two remains with any supercell structures. An increase in
   low/mid-level rotation has been noted on KSGF/KINX velocity data
   over the last hour. Low-level hodographs remain large per VAD data
   as well.

   ..Wendt.. 06/08/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...TSA...ICT...

   LAT...LON   36139548 36859570 37379537 37549527 37129361 36809355
               35639353 35739430 35799485 35939517 36139548 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH