root@sleepynerdlive.com
:
~
$
cat $HOME/public_html/posts/spc-md-2293.txt >> story.html | parse_story story.html; rm -f spc-md-2293.txt story.html
MD 2293 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF WESTERN KANSAS INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL NEBRASKA
Mesoscale Discussion 2293
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0309 PM CDT Mon Sep 14 2026
Areas affected...Parts of western Kansas into south-central Nebraska
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 142009Z - 142245Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms should increase in coverage through the
remainder of the afternoon into early this evening. The stronger
storms will be capable of producing a few severe wind gusts.
DISCUSSION...Isolated high-based thunderstorms are evolving within a
NE/SW-oriented surface trough in southwestern KS, with additional
deepening cumulus embedded within a zone of warm advection over
north-central KS and south-central NE. In southwestern KS, the
modified 18Z DDC sounding depicts steep low/midlevel lapse rates and
30-40 kt of southwesterly flow through the depth of the boundary
layer. This will promote robust thunderstorm downdrafts, with a risk
of severe wind gusts -- especially with any small clusters that
evolve. Farther northeast, thunderstorm development/intensification
is more uncertain, given the persistent cloud coverage and showers.
Nevertheless, temperatures have warmed into the lower/middle 90s
amid 40-45 kt of flow in the lowest 2 km AGL (per UEX VWP data).
Therefore, any thunderstorms that mature in this environment will
also pose a risk of severe wind gusts through the afternoon and
early evening. It is unclear if the severe risk will warrant a
watch, though convective trends are being monitored.
..Weinman/Guyer.. 09/14/2026
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...
LAT...LON 38510178 39170114 39870023 40299944 40389891 40349851
40189812 39799788 39499806 37750121 37680174 37830198
38160198 38510178
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
Tags: SPC