Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 329

   Mesoscale Discussion 0329
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1108 PM CDT Wed Apr 01 2026

   Areas affected...Parts of southwest Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 88...

   Valid 020408Z - 020545Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 88
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The severe wind risk continues in Severe Thunderstorm
   Watch #88. A downstream watch is not currently expected, though
   trends are being monitored.

   DISCUSSION...A small bowing thunderstorm complex has evolved
   northeast of San Angelo, along the northeastern edge of remaining
   surface-based buoyancy. Around 40 kt of 0-6 km shear (per SJT VWP)
   oriented perpendicular to the gust front of this activity should
   maintain its current intensity for the next hour or so in Severe
   Thunderstorm Watch #88 -- with an associated risk of severe wind
   gusts. However, these storms will gradually move eastward into an
   area of weaker buoyancy and increasing low-level inhibition. Current
   thinking is that this will result in a gradual weakening trend.
   Therefore, a downstream watch is not currently expected, though
   convective trends are being monitored.

   ..Weinman.. 04/02/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...MAF...

   LAT...LON   30770176 31030150 31400069 32529953 32779924 32819881
               32579863 32009872 30969958 30310094 30370171 30770176 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN