Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 325

   Mesoscale Discussion 0325
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0709 PM CDT Wed Apr 01 2026

   Areas affected...North-central Oklahoma into far southeastern KS

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 86...

   Valid 020009Z - 020215Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 86 continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe risk should increase over the next few hours, with
   the primary concerns being a couple tornadoes and damaging wind
   gusts.

   DISCUSSION...Clusters of thunderstorms evolving along/south of the
   surface boundary in north-central OK are showing some signs of
   contraction into more intense cells with supercellular
   characteristics during the last 30 minute or so. These storms should
   maintain residence time within the warm/moist warm sector (middle
   60s dewpoints) south of the boundary over the next few hours, given
   west-southwesterly deep-layer shear vectors/storm motions. Around 40
   to 50 kt of effective shear and increasing low-level hodograph
   size/curvature (upwards of 200 m2/s2 effective SRH) with the
   strengthening low-level jet should promote supercell clusters --
   capable of producing a couple tornadoes and damaging wind gusts
   during the next few hours.

   ..Weinman.. 04/02/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...

   LAT...LON   36439577 35869637 35639702 35699753 35909779 36119767
               37169662 37309623 37289581 37079555 36839556 36439577 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN