Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1251

   Mesoscale Discussion 1251
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0906 AM CDT Mon Jun 22 2026

   Areas affected...portions of eastern AR...northwest MS...northern
   LA...and northeast TX

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 373...

   Valid 221406Z - 221530Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 373
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Mainly sub-severe winds may persist with decaying MCS
   moving across the ArkLaTex and Lower Mississippi Valley through the
   morning hours. Overall severe potential is expected to remain low,
   and a downstream watch is not expected.

   DISCUSSION...Convection along the leading edge of a decaying MCS
   across southeast AR into northern LA/northeast TX has diminished in
   intensity over the past hour. A 37 kt measured gust was noted at
   KPBF/Pine Bluff AR in the past 30-40 minutes, and measured severe
   gusts have not be noted for 1-2 hours. As the convection continues
   to percolate east/southeast the next few hours, gusty winds of this
   caliber may occur. However, overall decreasing organization and
   intensity of the weakening MCS is expected to continue and severe
   potential will be limited. As the associated MCV over eastern AR
   tracks eastward along a southward sagging surface boundary, some
   severe potential could increase later this afternoon across parts of
   MS, but severe potential should remain low the next few hours. As
   such, a downstream severe thunderstorm watch is not expected at this
   time.

   ..Leitman.. 06/22/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...FWD...

   LAT...LON   35019136 34978968 34078976 33349019 32739093 32449164
               32069313 32069450 32609535 33079551 33459458 33809271
               34639182 34919164 35019136 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH